Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies position 30–31°C as the most probable range for Chengdu's August 20 maximum, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that limit intense solar heating while monsoon moisture promotes scattered convection. Typical mid-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 29–32°C, with light winds and afternoon cloud cover often preventing spikes above 33°C, aligning with the market's strong 30°C consensus at 37.5% implied probability. Model runs exhibit limited spread, though revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift outcomes toward 32°C if clearer conditions develop. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the verified daily peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 20?
30°C 31%
29°C 23%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
23%
30°C
31%
31°C
18%
32°C
7%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 31%
29°C 23%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
24°C or below
$236 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$373 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$65 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$68 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$64 ปริมาณ
11%
29°C
$100 ปริมาณ
23%
30°C
$2,221 ปริมาณ
31%
31°C
$56 ปริมาณ
18%
32°C
$83 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C
$120 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies position 30–31°C as the most probable range for Chengdu's August 20 maximum, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that limit intense solar heating while monsoon moisture promotes scattered convection. Typical mid-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 29–32°C, with light winds and afternoon cloud cover often preventing spikes above 33°C, aligning with the market's strong 30°C consensus at 37.5% implied probability. Model runs exhibit limited spread, though revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift outcomes toward 32°C if clearer conditions develop. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the verified daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,274วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies position 30–31°C as the most probable range for Chengdu's August 20 maximum, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that limit intense solar heating while monsoon moisture promotes scattered convection. Typical mid-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 29–32°C, with light winds and afternoon cloud cover often preventing spikes above 33°C, aligning with the market's strong 30°C consensus at 37.5% implied probability. Model runs exhibit limited spread, though revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift outcomes toward 32°C if clearer conditions develop. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the verified daily peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,274วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies position 30–31°C as the most probable range for Chengdu's August 20 maximum, driven by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that limit intense solar heating while monsoon moisture promotes scattered convection. Typical mid-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 29–32°C, with light winds and afternoon cloud cover often preventing spikes above 33°C, aligning with the market's strong 30°C consensus at 37.5% implied probability. Model runs exhibit limited spread, though revisions in boundary-layer moisture or insolation could shift outcomes toward 32°C if clearer conditions develop. Official station measurements from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the verified daily peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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