Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 30%
18°C 28%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
14%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
15%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 30%
18°C 28%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$1,206 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$322 ปริมาณ
14%
18°C
$276 ปริมาณ
28%
19°C
$653 ปริมาณ
30%
20°C
$1,953 ปริมาณ
15%
21°C
$63 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$1,354 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$155 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C or higher
$90 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,199วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,199วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather place Moscow’s August 19 maximum near 19–21 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18–19 °C reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing. Light winds and overcast conditions expected midday would limit surface heating despite peak August insolation, while clearer intervals or delayed precipitation could push readings a degree higher. Ensemble spread remains small because no strong warm advection or high-pressure ridge is indicated, keeping extremes below 16 °C or above 22 °C at low probabilities. Updated model guidance and satellite observations of cloud trends over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term drivers of any shift in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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