Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 17?
32°C 41%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
41%
33°C
31%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 41%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$54 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$142 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$226 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$311 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$193 ปริมาณ
41%
33°C
$108 ปริมาณ
31%
34°C
$233 ปริมาณ
7%
35°C
$25 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$424 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$166 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,917วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,917วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak temperatures of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and seasonal cooling after mid-August maxima. These conditions typically suppress daytime heating compared with clearer skies, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and recent observations showing 28–29°C on August 16 amid thundershowers. Trader positioning around 32°C reflects this forecast range, with uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and any model revisions from updated runs. Official monitoring agencies will release refined guidance closer to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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