Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a modest warming trend for Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, placing the highest temperature most likely between the mid-70s and low-80s. This consensus aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 72–81 °F bins, reflecting remaining uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and exact strength of onshore flow at the official downtown station. Historical August averages near 84 °F provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly cooler coastal moderation compared with interior heating trends. Updated guidance expected overnight from NOAA will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 17?
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
67°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
74-75°F
$39 ปริมาณ
20%
76-77°F
$14 ปริมาณ
41%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
82-83°F
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
84-85°F
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
86°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a modest warming trend for Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, placing the highest temperature most likely between the mid-70s and low-80s. This consensus aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 72–81 °F bins, reflecting remaining uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and exact strength of onshore flow at the official downtown station. Historical August averages near 84 °F provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly cooler coastal moderation compared with interior heating trends. Updated guidance expected overnight from NOAA will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a modest warming trend for Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, placing the highest temperature most likely between the mid-70s and low-80s. This consensus aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 72–81 °F bins, reflecting remaining uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and exact strength of onshore flow at the official downtown station. Historical August averages near 84 °F provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly cooler coastal moderation compared with interior heating trends. Updated guidance expected overnight from NOAA will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a modest warming trend for Los Angeles on August 17 driven by building high pressure and reduced marine-layer influence, placing the highest temperature most likely between the mid-70s and low-80s. This consensus aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across 72–81 °F bins, reflecting remaining uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and exact strength of onshore flow at the official downtown station. Historical August averages near 84 °F provide context, yet recent model runs show slightly cooler coastal moderation compared with interior heating trends. Updated guidance expected overnight from NOAA will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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