Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, center on a high near 91–94°F under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Persistent heat across South Florida, including a heat advisory and yesterday’s observed maximum of 94°F, supports this range, while typical August sea-breeze moderation and climatological normals near 91°F limit upside potential. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping the 94–95°F outcome secondary and higher extremes below 2% implied probability. Updated guidance later today will further refine the exact maximum before markets close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 15?
92-93°F 66%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F <1%
ใหม่
$31,483 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$31,483 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
66%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 66%
94-95°F 25%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F <1%
ใหม่
$31,483 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$31,483 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
$132 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$259 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$232 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$2,023 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,489 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$2,580 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$4,358 ปริมาณ
9%
92-93°F
$12,056 ปริมาณ
66%
94-95°F
$4,097 ปริมาณ
25%
96-97°F
$1,282 ปริมาณ
1%
98°F or higher
$2,975 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, center on a high near 91–94°F under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Persistent heat across South Florida, including a heat advisory and yesterday’s observed maximum of 94°F, supports this range, while typical August sea-breeze moderation and climatological normals near 91°F limit upside potential. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping the 94–95°F outcome secondary and higher extremes below 2% implied probability. Updated guidance later today will further refine the exact maximum before markets close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,483วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, center on a high near 91–94°F under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Persistent heat across South Florida, including a heat advisory and yesterday’s observed maximum of 94°F, supports this range, while typical August sea-breeze moderation and climatological normals near 91°F limit upside potential. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping the 94–95°F outcome secondary and higher extremes below 2% implied probability. Updated guidance later today will further refine the exact maximum before markets close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,483วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Miami on August 15, 2026, center on a high near 91–94°F under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Persistent heat across South Florida, including a heat advisory and yesterday’s observed maximum of 94°F, supports this range, while typical August sea-breeze moderation and climatological normals near 91°F limit upside potential. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping the 94–95°F outcome secondary and higher extremes below 2% implied probability. Updated guidance later today will further refine the exact maximum before markets close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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