**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture. Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
30°C 34%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
22%
30°C
31%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 34%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
24°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$22 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$7 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$1 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
22%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
31%
31°C
$26 ปริมาณ
27%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
11%
33°C
$16 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C or higher
$19 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture.
Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture.
Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a maximum of 32°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15 under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30% chance of precipitation.** This aligns with mid-August climatology (typical highs 30–32°C) but follows a recent heatwave that produced extreme peaks earlier in the month before gradual moderation from increased cloud cover and moisture. Trader positioning favoring 29–31°C over the official 32°C forecast likely reflects model consensus on afternoon cloud build-up and sea-breeze moderation at coastal Incheon limiting peak solar heating, alongside post-heatwave cooling trends. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations on August 15 that could shift resolution toward the 30–31°C band if showers or thicker cloud cover materialize as projected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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