Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to a moderating trend for Chongqing's August 19 high, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Late-summer climatology shows a gradual decline from mid-August peaks, as the subtropical high weakens and allows greater moisture influx, though localized heat retention from surrounding mountains can still produce brief spikes. Trader consensus around the 30–31°C outcomes reflects model agreement on this cooling signal while acknowledging spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 19?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 19?
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
24%
31°C
27%
32°C
18%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 27%
30°C 24%
32°C 18%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
$137 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$264 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$81 ปริมาณ
13%
30°C
$454 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$81 ปริมาณ
27%
32°C
$95 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$117 ปริมาณ
8%
34°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$26 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$189 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to a moderating trend for Chongqing's August 19 high, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Late-summer climatology shows a gradual decline from mid-August peaks, as the subtropical high weakens and allows greater moisture influx, though localized heat retention from surrounding mountains can still produce brief spikes. Trader consensus around the 30–31°C outcomes reflects model agreement on this cooling signal while acknowledging spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,456วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to a moderating trend for Chongqing's August 19 high, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Late-summer climatology shows a gradual decline from mid-August peaks, as the subtropical high weakens and allows greater moisture influx, though localized heat retention from surrounding mountains can still produce brief spikes. Trader consensus around the 30–31°C outcomes reflects model agreement on this cooling signal while acknowledging spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,456วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to a moderating trend for Chongqing's August 19 high, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Late-summer climatology shows a gradual decline from mid-August peaks, as the subtropical high weakens and allows greater moisture influx, though localized heat retention from surrounding mountains can still produce brief spikes. Trader consensus around the 30–31°C outcomes reflects model agreement on this cooling signal while acknowledging spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on convective development. Official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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