Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 17?
22°C 35%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C or below 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
8%
21°C
25%
22°C
35%
23°C
26%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 35%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C or below 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
$489 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$814 ปริมาณ
25%
22°C
$90 ปริมาณ
35%
23°C
$224 ปริมาณ
26%
24°C
$621 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$180 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$117 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$19 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$147 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,775วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,775วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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