Short-term forecast uncertainty between monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–30 °C for Lucknow’s August 17 maximum. Regional models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of convective activity, which directly modulates daytime heating and keeps the most likely range narrow. Historical mid-August climatology places typical maxima near 32–34 °C under clearer conditions, but current moisture profiles and weak steering winds favor suppressed peaks. Traders are weighting the next IMD and global model runs, which will clarify whether additional showers arrive before peak heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
30°C 29%
29°C 28%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
15%
29°C
28%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
29°C 28%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$18 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$151 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$77 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$224 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$174 ปริมาณ
15%
29°C
$349 ปริมาณ
28%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
29%
31°C
$315 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$223 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C
$36 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$35 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty between monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–30 °C for Lucknow’s August 17 maximum. Regional models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of convective activity, which directly modulates daytime heating and keeps the most likely range narrow. Historical mid-August climatology places typical maxima near 32–34 °C under clearer conditions, but current moisture profiles and weak steering winds favor suppressed peaks. Traders are weighting the next IMD and global model runs, which will clarify whether additional showers arrive before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,621วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty between monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–30 °C for Lucknow’s August 17 maximum. Regional models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of convective activity, which directly modulates daytime heating and keeps the most likely range narrow. Historical mid-August climatology places typical maxima near 32–34 °C under clearer conditions, but current moisture profiles and weak steering winds favor suppressed peaks. Traders are weighting the next IMD and global model runs, which will clarify whether additional showers arrive before peak heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,621วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty between monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–30 °C for Lucknow’s August 17 maximum. Regional models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of convective activity, which directly modulates daytime heating and keeps the most likely range narrow. Historical mid-August climatology places typical maxima near 32–34 °C under clearer conditions, but current moisture profiles and weak steering winds favor suppressed peaks. Traders are weighting the next IMD and global model runs, which will clarify whether additional showers arrive before peak heating.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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