Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds highest for a Lucknow maximum of 31–32°C on August 16. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate widespread showers and overcast skies that day, limiting solar heating and capping surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Recent days have shown highs fluctuating between 34–36°C under partly clearer conditions, but strengthening low-level moisture and expected precipitation on the 15th–16th are shifting the distribution downward. Key resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory, with updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived cloud analyses likely to refine probabilities ahead of the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 16?
31°C 48%
32°C 33%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
38%
32°C
33%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 33%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$186 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$115 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$78 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
33°C
$13 ปริมาณ
14%
34°C
$11 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C or higher
$66 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds highest for a Lucknow maximum of 31–32°C on August 16. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate widespread showers and overcast skies that day, limiting solar heating and capping surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Recent days have shown highs fluctuating between 34–36°C under partly clearer conditions, but strengthening low-level moisture and expected precipitation on the 15th–16th are shifting the distribution downward. Key resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory, with updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived cloud analyses likely to refine probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$665วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds highest for a Lucknow maximum of 31–32°C on August 16. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate widespread showers and overcast skies that day, limiting solar heating and capping surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Recent days have shown highs fluctuating between 34–36°C under partly clearer conditions, but strengthening low-level moisture and expected precipitation on the 15th–16th are shifting the distribution downward. Key resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory, with updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived cloud analyses likely to refine probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$665วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, is the main driver keeping trader-implied odds highest for a Lucknow maximum of 31–32°C on August 16. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate widespread showers and overcast skies that day, limiting solar heating and capping surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–33°C. Recent days have shown highs fluctuating between 34–36°C under partly clearer conditions, but strengthening low-level moisture and expected precipitation on the 15th–16th are shifting the distribution downward. Key resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory, with updated IMD guidance and satellite-derived cloud analyses likely to refine probabilities ahead of the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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