Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 18, 2026, points to mostly sunny skies and highs near 82–85°F under a northwest flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 86–87°F (43.5% implied probability). This aligns with the month’s typical Central Park climatology of an 83°F average high while reflecting modest model spread and the potential for localized warming in urban heat-island zones. Lower-probability bins above 88°F capture residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any slight delay in the frontal passage, whereas cooler outcomes remain discounted absent significant cloud cover or onshore flow. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning observations will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 18?
86-87°F 48%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 48%
84-85°F 28%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
75°F or below
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$49 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$84 ปริมาณ
2%
82-83°F
$134 ปริมาณ
6%
84-85°F
$374 ปริมาณ
28%
86-87°F
$1,516 ปริมาณ
48%
88-89°F
$440 ปริมาณ
15%
90-91°F
$92 ปริมาณ
3%
92-93°F
$25 ปริมาณ
5%
94°F or higher
$108 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 18, 2026, points to mostly sunny skies and highs near 82–85°F under a northwest flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 86–87°F (43.5% implied probability). This aligns with the month’s typical Central Park climatology of an 83°F average high while reflecting modest model spread and the potential for localized warming in urban heat-island zones. Lower-probability bins above 88°F capture residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any slight delay in the frontal passage, whereas cooler outcomes remain discounted absent significant cloud cover or onshore flow. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning observations will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,891วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 18, 2026, points to mostly sunny skies and highs near 82–85°F under a northwest flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 86–87°F (43.5% implied probability). This aligns with the month’s typical Central Park climatology of an 83°F average high while reflecting modest model spread and the potential for localized warming in urban heat-island zones. Lower-probability bins above 88°F capture residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any slight delay in the frontal passage, whereas cooler outcomes remain discounted absent significant cloud cover or onshore flow. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning observations will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,891วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 18, 2026, points to mostly sunny skies and highs near 82–85°F under a northwest flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 86–87°F (43.5% implied probability). This aligns with the month’s typical Central Park climatology of an 83°F average high while reflecting modest model spread and the potential for localized warming in urban heat-island zones. Lower-probability bins above 88°F capture residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any slight delay in the frontal passage, whereas cooler outcomes remain discounted absent significant cloud cover or onshore flow. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning observations will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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