Recent PAGASA monitoring of the weakened remnants of Typhoon Neneng and ongoing southwest monsoon flow indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Metro Manila through August 23, limiting peak solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near 30–32°C. High humidity and frequent convective activity typical of the August rainy season further suppress daytime highs relative to drier periods, aligning with climatological norms around 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty across the 29–32°C range, reflected in closely matched trader-implied odds, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA monitoring of the weakened remnants of Typhoon Neneng and ongoing southwest monsoon flow indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Metro Manila through August 23, limiting peak solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near 30–32°C. High humidity and frequent convective activity typical of the August rainy season further suppress daytime highs relative to drier periods, aligning with climatological norms around 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty across the 29–32°C range, reflected in closely matched trader-implied odds, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations of the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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