Recent National Environment Agency guidance on drier conditions across the first half of August, with daily maximum temperatures expected in the 33–34 °C range on most days, anchors trader consensus around the 33 °C outcome at 46 % implied probability. Short-range models from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC align on highs near 32–33 °C for August 21 amid isolated thunderstorms and typical equatorial humidity, while historical August averages hover at 31–32 °C and only occasionally reach 33 °C. With resolution depending on the official Singapore recording station’s peak reading, any late-model shift in steering flow or convective timing could adjust probabilities before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on August 21?
33°C 56%
32°C 55%
30°C 38%
31°C 18%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
38%
31°C
18%
32°C
32%
33°C
47%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 55%
30°C 38%
31°C 18%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
38%
31°C
18%
32°C
32%
33°C
47%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Environment Agency guidance on drier conditions across the first half of August, with daily maximum temperatures expected in the 33–34 °C range on most days, anchors trader consensus around the 33 °C outcome at 46 % implied probability. Short-range models from AccuWeather, timeanddate, and BBC align on highs near 32–33 °C for August 21 amid isolated thunderstorms and typical equatorial humidity, while historical August averages hover at 31–32 °C and only occasionally reach 33 °C. With resolution depending on the official Singapore recording station’s peak reading, any late-model shift in steering flow or convective timing could adjust probabilities before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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