Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Cape Town highs near 18–19°C on August 21 under partly cloudy or increasing cloud conditions, consistent with a post-frontal warming trend after earlier cold fronts tracked south of the region. South African Weather Service patterns and regional updates point to moderating south-easterly winds and clearer intervals that could support slightly higher maxima, while Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes contained. Model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, with traders weighing these variables against August climatology where daily highs average near 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 21?
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
23°C 25%
20°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
31%
22°C
30%
23°C
25%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 30%
21°C 29%
23°C 25%
20°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$11 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
31%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
23°C
$1 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C
$47 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Cape Town highs near 18–19°C on August 21 under partly cloudy or increasing cloud conditions, consistent with a post-frontal warming trend after earlier cold fronts tracked south of the region. South African Weather Service patterns and regional updates point to moderating south-easterly winds and clearer intervals that could support slightly higher maxima, while Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes contained. Model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, with traders weighing these variables against August climatology where daily highs average near 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Cape Town highs near 18–19°C on August 21 under partly cloudy or increasing cloud conditions, consistent with a post-frontal warming trend after earlier cold fronts tracked south of the region. South African Weather Service patterns and regional updates point to moderating south-easterly winds and clearer intervals that could support slightly higher maxima, while Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes contained. Model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, with traders weighing these variables against August climatology where daily highs average near 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Cape Town highs near 18–19°C on August 21 under partly cloudy or increasing cloud conditions, consistent with a post-frontal warming trend after earlier cold fronts tracked south of the region. South African Weather Service patterns and regional updates point to moderating south-easterly winds and clearer intervals that could support slightly higher maxima, while Atlantic high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes contained. Model spreads on exact peak timing and cloud cover explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, with traders weighing these variables against August climatology where daily highs average near 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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