Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF and ICON runs, show a high-pressure ridge favoring mostly sunny skies and light winds over southern Bavaria on August 19, supporting afternoon maxima of 27–29 °C at Munich’s official station. This places the highest probability mass on 28 °C, consistent with the market’s 28 % implied odds. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both seasonal persistence and the absence of significant frontal passages in the short-range guidance. Final DWD observations and any last model updates before local noon will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 19?
28°C 28%
29°C 21%
27°C 17%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
17%
28°C
28%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 28%
29°C 21%
27°C 17%
30°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
$867 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$271 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$777 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$2,492 ปริมาณ
17%
28°C
$915 ปริมาณ
28%
29°C
$1,587 ปริมาณ
21%
30°C
$676 ปริมาณ
14%
31°C
$248 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$345 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF and ICON runs, show a high-pressure ridge favoring mostly sunny skies and light winds over southern Bavaria on August 19, supporting afternoon maxima of 27–29 °C at Munich’s official station. This places the highest probability mass on 28 °C, consistent with the market’s 28 % implied odds. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both seasonal persistence and the absence of significant frontal passages in the short-range guidance. Final DWD observations and any last model updates before local noon will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,544วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF and ICON runs, show a high-pressure ridge favoring mostly sunny skies and light winds over southern Bavaria on August 19, supporting afternoon maxima of 27–29 °C at Munich’s official station. This places the highest probability mass on 28 °C, consistent with the market’s 28 % implied odds. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both seasonal persistence and the absence of significant frontal passages in the short-range guidance. Final DWD observations and any last model updates before local noon will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,544วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF and ICON runs, show a high-pressure ridge favoring mostly sunny skies and light winds over southern Bavaria on August 19, supporting afternoon maxima of 27–29 °C at Munich’s official station. This places the highest probability mass on 28 °C, consistent with the market’s 28 % implied odds. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens around cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so the current anomaly reflects both seasonal persistence and the absence of significant frontal passages in the short-range guidance. Final DWD observations and any last model updates before local noon will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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