Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
22°C 32%
24°C 26%
23°C 20%
25°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
13%
22°C
32%
23°C
37%
24°C
26%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
11%
22°C 32%
24°C 26%
23°C 20%
25°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
23°C
$225 ปริมาณ
37%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
26°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Moscow on August 21, driven by persistent moderate cloud cover, light southerly flow, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging that would favor warmer conditions. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average daily maxima hover around 21–23°C as seasonal cooling sets in. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours show little spread, with minimal risk of either a sharp cool-down from increased precipitation or a spike above 24°C from clearer skies, keeping the market-implied probabilities concentrated on 22–24°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย