Trader consensus on the low likelihood of an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining geographically confined to northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited spillover into Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August. Official surveillance from WHO, CDC, and national ministries shows sustained but regionally contained transmission, no exported cases establishing chains elsewhere, and low risk to global populations despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Historical Ebola patterns demonstrate rapid containment potential when international support scales, supporting the 96.3% market-implied probability for no pandemic. Realistic shifts could occur if transmission reaches dense urban centers or major travel hubs, enabling wider seeding before interventions fully suppress chains.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% โอกาส
$691,708 ปริมาณ
$691,708 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$691,708 ปริมาณ
$691,708 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining geographically confined to northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited spillover into Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August. Official surveillance from WHO, CDC, and national ministries shows sustained but regionally contained transmission, no exported cases establishing chains elsewhere, and low risk to global populations despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Historical Ebola patterns demonstrate rapid containment potential when international support scales, supporting the 96.3% market-implied probability for no pandemic. Realistic shifts could occur if transmission reaches dense urban centers or major travel hubs, enabling wider seeding before interventions fully suppress chains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691,708วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the low likelihood of an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining geographically confined to northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited spillover into Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August. Official surveillance from WHO, CDC, and national ministries shows sustained but regionally contained transmission, no exported cases establishing chains elsewhere, and low risk to global populations despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Historical Ebola patterns demonstrate rapid containment potential when international support scales, supporting the 96.3% market-implied probability for no pandemic. Realistic shifts could occur if transmission reaches dense urban centers or major travel hubs, enabling wider seeding before interventions fully suppress chains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691,708วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the low likelihood of an Ebola pandemic in 2026 stems from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak remaining geographically confined to northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo and limited spillover into Uganda, with roughly 4,600 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August. Official surveillance from WHO, CDC, and national ministries shows sustained but regionally contained transmission, no exported cases establishing chains elsewhere, and low risk to global populations despite the Public Health Emergency of International Concern declaration. Historical Ebola patterns demonstrate rapid containment potential when international support scales, supporting the 96.3% market-implied probability for no pandemic. Realistic shifts could occur if transmission reaches dense urban centers or major travel hubs, enabling wider seeding before interventions fully suppress chains.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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