Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and other models indicate persistent cloud cover, easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms through August 24 that limit daytime solar heating and cap temperatures near 26–31°C. High humidity, the Taipei basin's topographic trapping of moist air, and urban heat island effects interact with these conditions, keeping peaks modest compared with clearer summer days. Model spreads on exact maximums—driven by shower timing and any brief breaks in cloudiness—underpin the market's tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes, reflecting traders' assessment of genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
32°C or higher 22%
29°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 19%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
22%
32°C or higher 22%
29°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 19%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and other models indicate persistent cloud cover, easterly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms through August 24 that limit daytime solar heating and cap temperatures near 26–31°C. High humidity, the Taipei basin's topographic trapping of moist air, and urban heat island effects interact with these conditions, keeping peaks modest compared with clearer summer days. Model spreads on exact maximums—driven by shower timing and any brief breaks in cloudiness—underpin the market's tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes, reflecting traders' assessment of genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย