Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for Tokyo on August 22, limiting peak solar heating and supporting trader consensus around 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum at Tokyo Haneda. These outcomes align with typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C highs amid high humidity exceeding 70% and urban heat island effects, while showers act as the primary moderating factor by reducing incoming radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus has recently emphasized increased cloud cover over clearer scenarios that could push readings to 33°C or higher, tightening probabilities for extremes above 34°C. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours from JMA will further refine resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
19%
31°C
37%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
33°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
$1,364 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$193 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$56 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$323 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$332 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$192 ปริมาณ
37%
32°C
$53 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$359 ปริมาณ
8%
34°C
$107 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$34 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for Tokyo on August 22, limiting peak solar heating and supporting trader consensus around 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum at Tokyo Haneda. These outcomes align with typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C highs amid high humidity exceeding 70% and urban heat island effects, while showers act as the primary moderating factor by reducing incoming radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus has recently emphasized increased cloud cover over clearer scenarios that could push readings to 33°C or higher, tightening probabilities for extremes above 34°C. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours from JMA will further refine resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,270วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for Tokyo on August 22, limiting peak solar heating and supporting trader consensus around 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum at Tokyo Haneda. These outcomes align with typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C highs amid high humidity exceeding 70% and urban heat island effects, while showers act as the primary moderating factor by reducing incoming radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus has recently emphasized increased cloud cover over clearer scenarios that could push readings to 33°C or higher, tightening probabilities for extremes above 34°C. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours from JMA will further refine resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,270วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and numerical weather prediction models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers for Tokyo on August 22, limiting peak solar heating and supporting trader consensus around 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum at Tokyo Haneda. These outcomes align with typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C highs amid high humidity exceeding 70% and urban heat island effects, while showers act as the primary moderating factor by reducing incoming radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus has recently emphasized increased cloud cover over clearer scenarios that could push readings to 33°C or higher, tightening probabilities for extremes above 34°C. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours from JMA will further refine resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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