Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF points to an overnight minimum near 18–19°C in Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds, following daytime highs of 32–33°C. Radiative cooling will dominate after sunset with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 17–19°C. Official forecasts currently favor 18°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with climatological August lows near 16–21°C, while any late-model shift in steering flow or residual humidity could nudge the reading one degree lower or higher before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
18°C 35%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
9%
16°C
10%
17°C
31%
18°C
35%
19°C
34%
20°C
10%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 35%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
16°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
13°C or below
$22 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$17 ปริมาณ
6%
15°C
$17 ปริมาณ
9%
16°C
$59 ปริมาณ
10%
17°C
$17 ปริมาณ
31%
18°C
$52 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$17 ปริมาณ
34%
20°C
$17 ปริมาณ
10%
21°C
$17 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C or higher
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF points to an overnight minimum near 18–19°C in Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds, following daytime highs of 32–33°C. Radiative cooling will dominate after sunset with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 17–19°C. Official forecasts currently favor 18°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with climatological August lows near 16–21°C, while any late-model shift in steering flow or residual humidity could nudge the reading one degree lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF points to an overnight minimum near 18–19°C in Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds, following daytime highs of 32–33°C. Radiative cooling will dominate after sunset with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 17–19°C. Official forecasts currently favor 18°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with climatological August lows near 16–21°C, while any late-model shift in steering flow or residual humidity could nudge the reading one degree lower or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from AEMET and ECMWF points to an overnight minimum near 18–19°C in Madrid on August 22 under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds, following daytime highs of 32–33°C. Radiative cooling will dominate after sunset with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering around 17–19°C. Official forecasts currently favor 18°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with climatological August lows near 16–21°C, while any late-model shift in steering flow or residual humidity could nudge the reading one degree lower or higher before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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