Recent forecast model runs from global ensembles highlight variability in overnight radiative cooling and cold air advection over the Cape Peninsula, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 10–12°C as the most likely minimum on August 22. High-pressure ridging is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance surface cooling, yet residual moisture from a passing front could moderate the low by a degree or two depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August minima in Cape Town average near 8–9°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong katabatic winds support the market’s slight upward tilt. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological agencies is due within the next 12 hours and will likely refine the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 22?
11°C 32%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
12°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
3%
7°C
24%
8°C
22%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
32%
12°C
27%
13°C
23%
14°C
21%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
2%
11°C 32%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
12°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
3%
7°C
$5 ปริมาณ
24%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
14°C
$5 ปริมาณ
21%
15°C
$17 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from global ensembles highlight variability in overnight radiative cooling and cold air advection over the Cape Peninsula, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 10–12°C as the most likely minimum on August 22. High-pressure ridging is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance surface cooling, yet residual moisture from a passing front could moderate the low by a degree or two depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August minima in Cape Town average near 8–9°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong katabatic winds support the market’s slight upward tilt. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological agencies is due within the next 12 hours and will likely refine the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from global ensembles highlight variability in overnight radiative cooling and cold air advection over the Cape Peninsula, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 10–12°C as the most likely minimum on August 22. High-pressure ridging is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance surface cooling, yet residual moisture from a passing front could moderate the low by a degree or two depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August minima in Cape Town average near 8–9°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong katabatic winds support the market’s slight upward tilt. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological agencies is due within the next 12 hours and will likely refine the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from global ensembles highlight variability in overnight radiative cooling and cold air advection over the Cape Peninsula, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 10–12°C as the most likely minimum on August 22. High-pressure ridging is expected to limit cloud cover and enhance surface cooling, yet residual moisture from a passing front could moderate the low by a degree or two depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August minima in Cape Town average near 8–9°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and the absence of strong katabatic winds support the market’s slight upward tilt. Updated short-range guidance from regional meteorological agencies is due within the next 12 hours and will likely refine the outcome distribution ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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