**Trader sentiment for Taipei's daily minimum temperature on August 24 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast details, with probabilities clustered around 21–27°C and 21°C or below leading at 36%.** Current official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and consensus models points to a daily low near 26°C amid typical late-summer conditions: highs of 32–34°C, high humidity (often 70–90%), and a 50–70% chance of afternoon thundershowers. These showers and associated cloud cover are the main variables that can lower nighttime minima by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing longwave radiative heat loss, while clearer intervals allow slightly warmer lows closer to 27–28°C. Urban heat-island effects in Taipei tend to moderate extremes, but localized rainfall timing and wind patterns near resolution thresholds (e.g., whether the minimum falls to 25°C or stays at 26–27°C) explain the tight spread in market-implied odds. With the event only ~48 hours away, upcoming model runs and official updates will likely narrow the range by clarifying steering patterns and precipitation coverage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
22°C 48%
21°C or below 45%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
45%
22°C
48%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
22°C 48%
21°C or below 45%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5,276 ปริมาณ
45%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
48%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
28°C
$75 ปริมาณ
22%
29°C
$60 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$75 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C or higher
$1,969 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei's daily minimum temperature on August 24 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast details, with probabilities clustered around 21–27°C and 21°C or below leading at 36%.** Current official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and consensus models points to a daily low near 26°C amid typical late-summer conditions: highs of 32–34°C, high humidity (often 70–90%), and a 50–70% chance of afternoon thundershowers.
These showers and associated cloud cover are the main variables that can lower nighttime minima by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing longwave radiative heat loss, while clearer intervals allow slightly warmer lows closer to 27–28°C. Urban heat-island effects in Taipei tend to moderate extremes, but localized rainfall timing and wind patterns near resolution thresholds (e.g., whether the minimum falls to 25°C or stays at 26–27°C) explain the tight spread in market-implied odds. With the event only ~48 hours away, upcoming model runs and official updates will likely narrow the range by clarifying steering patterns and precipitation coverage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,460วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei's daily minimum temperature on August 24 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast details, with probabilities clustered around 21–27°C and 21°C or below leading at 36%.** Current official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and consensus models points to a daily low near 26°C amid typical late-summer conditions: highs of 32–34°C, high humidity (often 70–90%), and a 50–70% chance of afternoon thundershowers.
These showers and associated cloud cover are the main variables that can lower nighttime minima by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing longwave radiative heat loss, while clearer intervals allow slightly warmer lows closer to 27–28°C. Urban heat-island effects in Taipei tend to moderate extremes, but localized rainfall timing and wind patterns near resolution thresholds (e.g., whether the minimum falls to 25°C or stays at 26–27°C) explain the tight spread in market-implied odds. With the event only ~48 hours away, upcoming model runs and official updates will likely narrow the range by clarifying steering patterns and precipitation coverage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,460วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Taipei's daily minimum temperature on August 24 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range forecast details, with probabilities clustered around 21–27°C and 21°C or below leading at 36%.** Current official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and consensus models points to a daily low near 26°C amid typical late-summer conditions: highs of 32–34°C, high humidity (often 70–90%), and a 50–70% chance of afternoon thundershowers. These showers and associated cloud cover are the main variables that can lower nighttime minima by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing longwave radiative heat loss, while clearer intervals allow slightly warmer lows closer to 27–28°C. Urban heat-island effects in Taipei tend to moderate extremes, but localized rainfall timing and wind patterns near resolution thresholds (e.g., whether the minimum falls to 25°C or stays at 26–27°C) explain the tight spread in market-implied odds. With the event only ~48 hours away, upcoming model runs and official updates will likely narrow the range by clarifying steering patterns and precipitation coverage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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