Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 22?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 22?
22°C 40%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
32%
22°C
40%
23°C
15%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 32%
23°C 15%
20°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$104 ปริมาณ
9%
21°C
$83 ปริมาณ
32%
22°C
$151 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$293 ปริมาณ
15%
24°C
$104 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$30 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$164 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$560 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,656วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,656วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European forecast models and observational trends position 21–23°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s August 22 maximum, with market-implied probabilities reflecting consensus around 22°C amid a seasonal cooling trend. Typical late-August conditions feature daytime highs declining from mid-July peaks, supported by light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit afternoon warming, consistent with Met Office and BBC guidance projecting 22–23°C. Recent days saw highs near 27°C on August 17 before moderating, aligning trader sentiment with ensemble model runs that show limited potential for significant deviation absent a stronger ridge or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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