**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 22 high temperature centers on 19°C (45% implied probability) because short-range forecast models from the Met Office and similar agencies project a daytime maximum near 19°C under westerly flow and lingering Atlantic moisture.** This aligns with the observed cooling trend through late August, when average highs decline from ~21–22°C early in the month toward 19–20°C by the third week, consistent with climatological baselines. Recent runs show passing showers and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating, keeping peak readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a drop below 18°C. Secondary probabilities cluster tightly around 18°C (23%) and 20°C (17%), reflecting typical ensemble spread in temperature forecasts for the North Sea region. No anomalous warming signals or blocking patterns have emerged in the latest guidance, reinforcing the narrow 18–20°C window as the dominant market view ahead of final observational data on the 22nd.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 17%
17°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
23%
19°C
45%
20°C
17%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 17%
17°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
15°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$2 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
19°C
$26 ปริมาณ
45%
20°C
$71 ปริมาณ
17%
21°C
$3 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$288 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 22 high temperature centers on 19°C (45% implied probability) because short-range forecast models from the Met Office and similar agencies project a daytime maximum near 19°C under westerly flow and lingering Atlantic moisture.**
This aligns with the observed cooling trend through late August, when average highs decline from ~21–22°C early in the month toward 19–20°C by the third week, consistent with climatological baselines. Recent runs show passing showers and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating, keeping peak readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a drop below 18°C. Secondary probabilities cluster tightly around 18°C (23%) and 20°C (17%), reflecting typical ensemble spread in temperature forecasts for the North Sea region. No anomalous warming signals or blocking patterns have emerged in the latest guidance, reinforcing the narrow 18–20°C window as the dominant market view ahead of final observational data on the 22nd.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$405วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 22 high temperature centers on 19°C (45% implied probability) because short-range forecast models from the Met Office and similar agencies project a daytime maximum near 19°C under westerly flow and lingering Atlantic moisture.**
This aligns with the observed cooling trend through late August, when average highs decline from ~21–22°C early in the month toward 19–20°C by the third week, consistent with climatological baselines. Recent runs show passing showers and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating, keeping peak readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a drop below 18°C. Secondary probabilities cluster tightly around 18°C (23%) and 20°C (17%), reflecting typical ensemble spread in temperature forecasts for the North Sea region. No anomalous warming signals or blocking patterns have emerged in the latest guidance, reinforcing the narrow 18–20°C window as the dominant market view ahead of final observational data on the 22nd.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$405วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's August 22 high temperature centers on 19°C (45% implied probability) because short-range forecast models from the Met Office and similar agencies project a daytime maximum near 19°C under westerly flow and lingering Atlantic moisture.** This aligns with the observed cooling trend through late August, when average highs decline from ~21–22°C early in the month toward 19–20°C by the third week, consistent with climatological baselines. Recent runs show passing showers and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating, keeping peak readings from exceeding 20°C while preventing a drop below 18°C. Secondary probabilities cluster tightly around 18°C (23%) and 20°C (17%), reflecting typical ensemble spread in temperature forecasts for the North Sea region. No anomalous warming signals or blocking patterns have emerged in the latest guidance, reinforcing the narrow 18–20°C window as the dominant market view ahead of final observational data on the 22nd.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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