**Current forecasts position 27°C as the most likely daily minimum for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with 28°C a close secondary outcome, as extended models show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid continued subtropical summer conditions.** Shanghai’s late-August climate features typical nighttime lows of 25–28°C driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the East Asian monsoon’s lingering influence, which limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project August 20 highs of 30–33°C (87–91°F) and lows around 27°C (80°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, conditions that maintain elevated minimums by trapping heat and moisture. No significant frontal systems or typhoon activity are indicated in the short-term outlook that would produce cooler advection or clearer skies for greater overnight drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with the 26–28°C cluster capturing over 90% probability as the most probable range based on the latest forecast stability, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely without unexpected model shifts in the final 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
27°C 56%
28°C 29%
26°C 13%
24°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
56%
28°C
29%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 56%
28°C 29%
26°C 13%
24°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$40 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$16 ปริมาณ
56%
28°C
$22 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$41 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 27°C as the most likely daily minimum for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with 28°C a close secondary outcome, as extended models show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid continued subtropical summer conditions.**
Shanghai’s late-August climate features typical nighttime lows of 25–28°C driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the East Asian monsoon’s lingering influence, which limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project August 20 highs of 30–33°C (87–91°F) and lows around 27°C (80°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, conditions that maintain elevated minimums by trapping heat and moisture. No significant frontal systems or typhoon activity are indicated in the short-term outlook that would produce cooler advection or clearer skies for greater overnight drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with the 26–28°C cluster capturing over 90% probability as the most probable range based on the latest forecast stability, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely without unexpected model shifts in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$335วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 27°C as the most likely daily minimum for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with 28°C a close secondary outcome, as extended models show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid continued subtropical summer conditions.**
Shanghai’s late-August climate features typical nighttime lows of 25–28°C driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the East Asian monsoon’s lingering influence, which limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project August 20 highs of 30–33°C (87–91°F) and lows around 27°C (80°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, conditions that maintain elevated minimums by trapping heat and moisture. No significant frontal systems or typhoon activity are indicated in the short-term outlook that would produce cooler advection or clearer skies for greater overnight drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with the 26–28°C cluster capturing over 90% probability as the most probable range based on the latest forecast stability, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely without unexpected model shifts in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$335วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position 27°C as the most likely daily minimum for Shanghai on August 20, 2026, with 28°C a close secondary outcome, as extended models show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid continued subtropical summer conditions.** Shanghai’s late-August climate features typical nighttime lows of 25–28°C driven by high humidity, urban heat retention, and the East Asian monsoon’s lingering influence, which limits radiative cooling. Recent model runs from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project August 20 highs of 30–33°C (87–91°F) and lows around 27°C (80°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, conditions that maintain elevated minimums by trapping heat and moisture. No significant frontal systems or typhoon activity are indicated in the short-term outlook that would produce cooler advection or clearer skies for greater overnight drops. Trader-implied odds reflect this consensus, with the 26–28°C cluster capturing over 90% probability as the most probable range based on the latest forecast stability, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely without unexpected model shifts in the final 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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