Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum daytime temperatures in Wellington of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average winter conditions for the region. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across central New Zealand, reflecting typical August patterns of moderate northerly or southerly flows without strong warming anomalies. These model consensus values, combined with historical baselines of 12–14°C highs and limited day-to-day variability this month, position 14–15°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside the narrow forecast envelope.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
15°C 56%
14°C 34%
16°C 7%
13°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
34%
15°C
56%
16°C
7%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 34%
16°C 7%
13°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
13°C
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
14°C
$200 ปริมาณ
34%
15°C
$88 ปริมาณ
56%
16°C
$12 ปริมาณ
7%
17°C
$20 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C or higher
$29 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum daytime temperatures in Wellington of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average winter conditions for the region. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across central New Zealand, reflecting typical August patterns of moderate northerly or southerly flows without strong warming anomalies. These model consensus values, combined with historical baselines of 12–14°C highs and limited day-to-day variability this month, position 14–15°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside the narrow forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$419วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum daytime temperatures in Wellington of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average winter conditions for the region. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across central New Zealand, reflecting typical August patterns of moderate northerly or southerly flows without strong warming anomalies. These model consensus values, combined with historical baselines of 12–14°C highs and limited day-to-day variability this month, position 14–15°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside the narrow forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$419วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum daytime temperatures in Wellington of 14–15°C on August 22, consistent with near-average winter conditions for the region. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across central New Zealand, reflecting typical August patterns of moderate northerly or southerly flows without strong warming anomalies. These model consensus values, combined with historical baselines of 12–14°C highs and limited day-to-day variability this month, position 14–15°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside the narrow forecast envelope.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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