Singapore’s near-equatorial climate produces consistently high daytime maxima, but a strengthening El Niño event—now showing Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2 °C—combined with prevailing southwest monsoon flow is driving drier, sunnier conditions across the first half of August 2026. Official guidance from Singapore’s NEA and MSS indicates reduced rainfall and fair, occasionally windy weather that favors greater solar insolation and afternoon heating, pushing daily highs into the 33–34 °C range on most days. Recent extended forecasts (AccuWeather, Time and Date, BBC) converge on 32–34 °C for 22 August, with limited model spread reflecting the stable large-scale pattern. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (62 %) while leaving modest probability for 32 °C or 34 °C depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing on the day. Updated NEA or MSS briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on August 22?
33°C 62%
32°C 21%
34°C 15%
31°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
21%
33°C
62%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
32°C 21%
34°C 15%
31°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
21%
33°C
62%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s near-equatorial climate produces consistently high daytime maxima, but a strengthening El Niño event—now showing Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2 °C—combined with prevailing southwest monsoon flow is driving drier, sunnier conditions across the first half of August 2026. Official guidance from Singapore’s NEA and MSS indicates reduced rainfall and fair, occasionally windy weather that favors greater solar insolation and afternoon heating, pushing daily highs into the 33–34 °C range on most days. Recent extended forecasts (AccuWeather, Time and Date, BBC) converge on 32–34 °C for 22 August, with limited model spread reflecting the stable large-scale pattern. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (62 %) while leaving modest probability for 32 °C or 34 °C depending on exact cloud cover and wind timing on the day. Updated NEA or MSS briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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