**Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and private sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in London of 12–16°C on August 24, 2026, with the strongest consensus around 13–14°C.** This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as recent model runs show overnight lows dipping to the low-to-mid 50s °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds. Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling under clear or broken cloud cover, typical for late-summer high-pressure setups, combined with dry air advection from the east that limits moisture and cloud insulation. Current August conditions have featured above-average temperatures overall, but a cooling trend has emerged in the final week, with recent nights already reaching 11–14°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the 24th minimum, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which places the most likely minimum near the historical late-August average for the region while accounting for the current dry, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 24?
Lowest temperature in London on August 24?
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
25%
14°C
38%
15°C
24%
16°C
12%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 38%
13°C 25%
15°C 24%
16°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
11°C
$4 ปริมาณ
4%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
13°C
$25 ปริมาณ
25%
14°C
$91 ปริมาณ
38%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and private sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in London of 12–16°C on August 24, 2026, with the strongest consensus around 13–14°C.** This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as recent model runs show overnight lows dipping to the low-to-mid 50s °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds.
Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling under clear or broken cloud cover, typical for late-summer high-pressure setups, combined with dry air advection from the east that limits moisture and cloud insulation. Current August conditions have featured above-average temperatures overall, but a cooling trend has emerged in the final week, with recent nights already reaching 11–14°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the 24th minimum, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low by 1–2°C.
Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which places the most likely minimum near the historical late-August average for the region while accounting for the current dry, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and private sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in London of 12–16°C on August 24, 2026, with the strongest consensus around 13–14°C.** This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as recent model runs show overnight lows dipping to the low-to-mid 50s °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds.
Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling under clear or broken cloud cover, typical for late-summer high-pressure setups, combined with dry air advection from the east that limits moisture and cloud insulation. Current August conditions have featured above-average temperatures overall, but a cooling trend has emerged in the final week, with recent nights already reaching 11–14°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the 24th minimum, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low by 1–2°C.
Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which places the most likely minimum near the historical late-August average for the region while accounting for the current dry, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$140วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and private sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in London of 12–16°C on August 24, 2026, with the strongest consensus around 13–14°C.** This aligns with market-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as recent model runs show overnight lows dipping to the low-to-mid 50s °F under partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds. Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling under clear or broken cloud cover, typical for late-summer high-pressure setups, combined with dry air advection from the east that limits moisture and cloud insulation. Current August conditions have featured above-average temperatures overall, but a cooling trend has emerged in the final week, with recent nights already reaching 11–14°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for the 24th minimum, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance, which places the most likely minimum near the historical late-August average for the region while accounting for the current dry, stable pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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