Trader consensus for the Los Angeles coastal observing site centers on an 80–81°F maximum at 43% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model consensus for August 21 that align with mid-August climatological norms of 77–80°F. Persistent marine layer influence and a strengthening afternoon sea breeze are limiting inland heat advection and peak warming, which explains the secondary weighting on 78–79°F while capping combined odds for 82°F or higher near 16%. Recent observations through August 19–20, showing daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s, reinforce this range ahead of the next model update and hourly data releases that will refine the final recorded high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
73°F or below
$290 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$37 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$719 ปริมาณ
11%
78-79°F
$643 ปริมาณ
29%
80-81°F
$2,282 ปริมาณ
46%
82-83°F
$251 ปริมาณ
12%
84-85°F
$230 ปริมาณ
4%
86-87°F
$190 ปริมาณ
2%
88-89°F
$29 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$32 ปริมาณ
<1%
92°F or higher
$308 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the Los Angeles coastal observing site centers on an 80–81°F maximum at 43% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model consensus for August 21 that align with mid-August climatological norms of 77–80°F. Persistent marine layer influence and a strengthening afternoon sea breeze are limiting inland heat advection and peak warming, which explains the secondary weighting on 78–79°F while capping combined odds for 82°F or higher near 16%. Recent observations through August 19–20, showing daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s, reinforce this range ahead of the next model update and hourly data releases that will refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,010วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for the Los Angeles coastal observing site centers on an 80–81°F maximum at 43% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model consensus for August 21 that align with mid-August climatological norms of 77–80°F. Persistent marine layer influence and a strengthening afternoon sea breeze are limiting inland heat advection and peak warming, which explains the secondary weighting on 78–79°F while capping combined odds for 82°F or higher near 16%. Recent observations through August 19–20, showing daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s, reinforce this range ahead of the next model update and hourly data releases that will refine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,010วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the Los Angeles coastal observing site centers on an 80–81°F maximum at 43% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model consensus for August 21 that align with mid-August climatological norms of 77–80°F. Persistent marine layer influence and a strengthening afternoon sea breeze are limiting inland heat advection and peak warming, which explains the secondary weighting on 78–79°F while capping combined odds for 82°F or higher near 16%. Recent observations through August 19–20, showing daily maxima in the upper 70s to low 80s, reinforce this range ahead of the next model update and hourly data releases that will refine the final recorded high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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