Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 11°C in London on September 24, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and light northerly to easterly winds that favor radiative cooling after daytime highs around 22°C. This setup aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where average lows fall in the 10–12°C range amid seasonal cooling. Trader consensus, with 11°C at 37.5% and 10–12°C options dominating combined implied probability above 85%, reflects model agreement and limited expected variability from stable atmospheric conditions, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact overnight low before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 24?
13°C 38%
8°C 36%
11°C 31%
9°C 15%
6°C or below
4%
7°C
8%
8°C
36%
9°C
15%
10°C
22%
11°C
38%
12°C
25%
13°C
38%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
2%
13°C 38%
8°C 36%
11°C 31%
9°C 15%
6°C or below
4%
7°C
8%
8°C
36%
9°C
15%
10°C
22%
11°C
38%
12°C
25%
13°C
38%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 11°C in London on September 24, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and light northerly to easterly winds that favor radiative cooling after daytime highs around 22°C. This setup aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where average lows fall in the 10–12°C range amid seasonal cooling. Trader consensus, with 11°C at 37.5% and 10–12°C options dominating combined implied probability above 85%, reflects model agreement and limited expected variability from stable atmospheric conditions, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact overnight low before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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