**Forecast model spread on overnight minimum temperatures for September 23 drives the closely matched market odds around 13–16°C.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office currently indicates a minimum near 10°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds, while other ensembles project milder values near 13–14°C due to greater cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises observed minima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, and recent warm, settled conditions have kept dew points elevated, moderating potential drops. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction and wind speeds in the 0–10 m/s range overnight, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima in central London average around 11–12°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 23?
Lowest temperature in London on September 23?
14°C 40%
13°C 38%
16°C 38%
11°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
9°C or below
3%
10°C
36%
11°C
37%
12°C
36%
13°C
38%
14°C
40%
15°C
26%
16°C
38%
17°C
5%
18°C
36%
19°C or higher
2%
14°C 40%
13°C 38%
16°C 38%
11°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
9°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
19°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spread on overnight minimum temperatures for September 23 drives the closely matched market odds around 13–16°C.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office currently indicates a minimum near 10°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds, while other ensembles project milder values near 13–14°C due to greater cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises observed minima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, and recent warm, settled conditions have kept dew points elevated, moderating potential drops. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction and wind speeds in the 0–10 m/s range overnight, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima in central London average around 11–12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spread on overnight minimum temperatures for September 23 drives the closely matched market odds around 13–16°C.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office currently indicates a minimum near 10°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds, while other ensembles project milder values near 13–14°C due to greater cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises observed minima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, and recent warm, settled conditions have kept dew points elevated, moderating potential drops. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction and wind speeds in the 0–10 m/s range overnight, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima in central London average around 11–12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model spread on overnight minimum temperatures for September 23 drives the closely matched market odds around 13–16°C.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office currently indicates a minimum near 10°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds, while other ensembles project milder values near 13–14°C due to greater cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises observed minima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, and recent warm, settled conditions have kept dew points elevated, moderating potential drops. Key variables include evolving cloud fraction and wind speeds in the 0–10 m/s range overnight, with fresh model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical September minima in central London average around 11–12°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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