**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in London for September 21 around 10–12 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (11 °C at 48.5 %, 10 °C at 24 %, 12 °C at 19 %).** Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a dry, mostly clear night with minimal cloud cover and light northerly or variable winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 23 °C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 11–14 °C range for central London, with urban heat-island effects moderating extremes compared to rural sites where grass frost remains possible. Historical late-September climatology (typical minima 11–12 °C) and recent stable anticyclonic conditions reinforce this band, while the absence of incoming fronts or stronger winds limits upside risk to 13 °C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts show little model spread, keeping trader sentiment concentrated on the 10–12 °C cluster as the most probable resolution range ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 21?
Lowest temperature in London on September 21?
11°C 46%
10°C 24%
12°C 19%
13°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
7%
10°C
24%
11°C
46%
12°C
19%
13°C
12%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
11°C 46%
10°C 24%
12°C 19%
13°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
$524 ปริมาณ
2%
9°C
$274 ปริมาณ
7%
10°C
$1,499 ปริมาณ
24%
11°C
$1,283 ปริมาณ
46%
12°C
$1,215 ปริมาณ
19%
13°C
$375 ปริมาณ
12%
14°C
$94 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C or higher
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in London for September 21 around 10–12 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (11 °C at 48.5 %, 10 °C at 24 %, 12 °C at 19 %).**
Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a dry, mostly clear night with minimal cloud cover and light northerly or variable winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 23 °C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 11–14 °C range for central London, with urban heat-island effects moderating extremes compared to rural sites where grass frost remains possible. Historical late-September climatology (typical minima 11–12 °C) and recent stable anticyclonic conditions reinforce this band, while the absence of incoming fronts or stronger winds limits upside risk to 13 °C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts show little model spread, keeping trader sentiment concentrated on the 10–12 °C cluster as the most probable resolution range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,389วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in London for September 21 around 10–12 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (11 °C at 48.5 %, 10 °C at 24 %, 12 °C at 19 %).**
Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a dry, mostly clear night with minimal cloud cover and light northerly or variable winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 23 °C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 11–14 °C range for central London, with urban heat-island effects moderating extremes compared to rural sites where grass frost remains possible. Historical late-September climatology (typical minima 11–12 °C) and recent stable anticyclonic conditions reinforce this band, while the absence of incoming fronts or stronger winds limits upside risk to 13 °C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts show little model spread, keeping trader sentiment concentrated on the 10–12 °C cluster as the most probable resolution range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,389วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in London for September 21 around 10–12 °C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes (11 °C at 48.5 %, 10 °C at 24 %, 12 °C at 19 %).** Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus indicate a dry, mostly clear night with minimal cloud cover and light northerly or variable winds, promoting efficient radiative cooling after a mild daytime high near 23 °C. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 11–14 °C range for central London, with urban heat-island effects moderating extremes compared to rural sites where grass frost remains possible. Historical late-September climatology (typical minima 11–12 °C) and recent stable anticyclonic conditions reinforce this band, while the absence of incoming fronts or stronger winds limits upside risk to 13 °C or higher. Updated short-range forecasts show little model spread, keeping trader sentiment concentrated on the 10–12 °C cluster as the most probable resolution range ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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