**Stable subtropical summer conditions have locked in a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 15.** August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with official Hong Kong Observatory data and model guidance confirming this range amid light rain and showers. No cold fronts, typhoons, or significant advection are present to drive further cooling, aligning trader consensus with observed and forecast values from sources like the Observatory and regional models. While measurement revisions or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the exact reading by 1°C, current atmospheric stability makes deviations to 25°C or 27°C+ unlikely before midnight resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,290 ปริมาณ
$44,290 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,290 ปริมาณ
$44,290 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable subtropical summer conditions have locked in a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 15.** August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with official Hong Kong Observatory data and model guidance confirming this range amid light rain and showers. No cold fronts, typhoons, or significant advection are present to drive further cooling, aligning trader consensus with observed and forecast values from sources like the Observatory and regional models. While measurement revisions or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the exact reading by 1°C, current atmospheric stability makes deviations to 25°C or 27°C+ unlikely before midnight resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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