Current ensemble forecasts and the Hong Kong Observatory outlook indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16, driven by a persistent southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions, intervals of showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Typical August baselines show overnight lows near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal guidance favoring normal-to-above-normal warmth amid broader climate trends. These factors create tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader probabilities, as model consensus on cloud cover and moisture content leaves little room for deeper cooling to 26°C or below unless a clearer, drier air mass arrives unexpectedly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
27°C 36%
28°C 36%
26°C 26%
25°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
24%
26°C
26%
27°C
36%
28°C
36%
29°C
23%
30°C
21%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 36%
26°C 26%
25°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$68 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$339 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$1 ปริมาณ
24%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
31°C
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts and the Hong Kong Observatory outlook indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16, driven by a persistent southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions, intervals of showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Typical August baselines show overnight lows near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal guidance favoring normal-to-above-normal warmth amid broader climate trends. These factors create tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader probabilities, as model consensus on cloud cover and moisture content leaves little room for deeper cooling to 26°C or below unless a clearer, drier air mass arrives unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$519วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts and the Hong Kong Observatory outlook indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16, driven by a persistent southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions, intervals of showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Typical August baselines show overnight lows near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal guidance favoring normal-to-above-normal warmth amid broader climate trends. These factors create tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader probabilities, as model consensus on cloud cover and moisture content leaves little room for deeper cooling to 26°C or below unless a clearer, drier air mass arrives unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$519วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts and the Hong Kong Observatory outlook indicate minimum temperatures of 27–28°C on August 16, driven by a persistent southwesterly airstream bringing humid conditions, intervals of showers, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Typical August baselines show overnight lows near 26–27°C, with recent seasonal guidance favoring normal-to-above-normal warmth amid broader climate trends. These factors create tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader probabilities, as model consensus on cloud cover and moisture content leaves little room for deeper cooling to 26°C or below unless a clearer, drier air mass arrives unexpectedly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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