Trader consensus positions Hong Wang as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, fueled by her landmark 2025 proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture with Josh Zahl—a breakthrough hailed as "once-in-a-century" in geometric measure theory that has galvanized mathematicians worldwide. Jacob Tsimerman trails closely for resolving the Andre-Oort conjecture, while Jack Thorne and others like John Pardon and Yu Deng gain traction via number theory and geometry advances, all eligible under the age-40 cutoff on January 1, 2026. Amid boycott protests by over 2,000 mathematicians against the U.S.-hosted ICM (July 23–30, Philadelphia), the secretive IMU committee's selection remains unpredictable; watch for late preprints or awards precursors before the July 30 announcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใครจะเป็นผู้ชนะเหรียญรางวัลฟิลด์ 2026?
ใครจะเป็นผู้ชนะเหรียญรางวัลฟิลด์ 2026?
$498,360 ปริมาณ
Jul 30, 2026
Hong Wang
73%
Jacob Tsimerman
67%
Jack Thorne
47%
John Pardon
37%
Yu Deng
35%
Julian Sahasrabudhe
29%
Aleksandr Logunov
26%
Sam Raskin
23%
Will Sawin
15%
Alexander Efimov
11%
$498,360 ปริมาณ
Hong Wang
$59,256 ปริมาณ
73%
Jacob Tsimerman
$51,791 ปริมาณ
67%
Jack Thorne
$99,434 ปริมาณ
47%
John Pardon
$83,869 ปริมาณ
37%
Yu Deng
$112,751 ปริมาณ
35%
Julian Sahasrabudhe
$84,294 ปริมาณ
29%
Aleksandr Logunov
$186 ปริมาณ
26%
Sam Raskin
$2,447 ปริมาณ
23%
Will Sawin
$3,813 ปริมาณ
15%
Alexander Efimov
$519 ปริมาณ
11%
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus positions Hong Wang as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, fueled by her landmark 2025 proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture with Josh Zahl—a breakthrough hailed as "once-in-a-century" in geometric measure theory that has galvanized mathematicians worldwide. Jacob Tsimerman trails closely for resolving the Andre-Oort conjecture, while Jack Thorne and others like John Pardon and Yu Deng gain traction via number theory and geometry advances, all eligible under the age-40 cutoff on January 1, 2026. Amid boycott protests by over 2,000 mathematicians against the U.S.-hosted ICM (July 23–30, Philadelphia), the secretive IMU committee's selection remains unpredictable; watch for late preprints or awards precursors before the July 30 announcement.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$498,360วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus positions Hong Wang as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, fueled by her landmark 2025 proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture with Josh Zahl—a breakthrough hailed as "once-in-a-century" in geometric measure theory that has galvanized mathematicians worldwide. Jacob Tsimerman trails closely for resolving the Andre-Oort conjecture, while Jack Thorne and others like John Pardon and Yu Deng gain traction via number theory and geometry advances, all eligible under the age-40 cutoff on January 1, 2026. Amid boycott protests by over 2,000 mathematicians against the U.S.-hosted ICM (July 23–30, Philadelphia), the secretive IMU committee's selection remains unpredictable; watch for late preprints or awards precursors before the July 30 announcement.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$498,360วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus positions Hong Wang as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, fueled by her landmark 2025 proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture with Josh Zahl—a breakthrough hailed as "once-in-a-century" in geometric measure theory that has galvanized mathematicians worldwide. Jacob Tsimerman trails closely for resolving the Andre-Oort conjecture, while Jack Thorne and others like John Pardon and Yu Deng gain traction via number theory and geometry advances, all eligible under the age-40 cutoff on January 1, 2026. Amid boycott protests by over 2,000 mathematicians against the U.S.-hosted ICM (July 23–30, Philadelphia), the secretive IMU committee's selection remains unpredictable; watch for late preprints or awards precursors before the July 30 announcement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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