The 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 4.25% last week, dipping nearly 7 basis points on Friday to approach one-month lows amid temporary de-escalation signals, even as March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—and FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting signaled growing openness to rate hikes amid policy uncertainty. With the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%, resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment, stable nonfarm payrolls), and rate cuts deferred potentially into 2027, trader consensus reflects limited near-term upside for yields, with forecasts eyeing 4.20%-4.30% peaks through 2026. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC for policy clues and May 12 CPI data for inflation trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$188,290 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4.5%
74%
4.6%
56%
4.8%
28%
5.0%
15%
5.2%
10%
5.5%
11%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
4%
$188,290 ปริมาณ
4.5%
$27,824 ปริมาณ
74%
4.6%
$34,834 ปริมาณ
56%
4.8%
$45,203 ปริมาณ
28%
5.0%
$38,703 ปริมาณ
15%
5.2%
$8,426 ปริมาณ
10%
5.5%
$1,318 ปริมาณ
11%
5.7%
$3,028 ปริมาณ
5%
6.0%
$1,987 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 4.25% last week, dipping nearly 7 basis points on Friday to approach one-month lows amid temporary de-escalation signals, even as March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—and FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting signaled growing openness to rate hikes amid policy uncertainty. With the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%, resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment, stable nonfarm payrolls), and rate cuts deferred potentially into 2027, trader consensus reflects limited near-term upside for yields, with forecasts eyeing 4.20%-4.30% peaks through 2026. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC for policy clues and May 12 CPI data for inflation trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$188,290วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 4.25% last week, dipping nearly 7 basis points on Friday to approach one-month lows amid temporary de-escalation signals, even as March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—and FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting signaled growing openness to rate hikes amid policy uncertainty. With the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%, resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment, stable nonfarm payrolls), and rate cuts deferred potentially into 2027, trader consensus reflects limited near-term upside for yields, with forecasts eyeing 4.20%-4.30% peaks through 2026. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC for policy clues and May 12 CPI data for inflation trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$188,290วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 4.25% last week, dipping nearly 7 basis points on Friday to approach one-month lows amid temporary de-escalation signals, even as March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—and FOMC minutes from the March 17-18 meeting signaled growing openness to rate hikes amid policy uncertainty. With the federal funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%, resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment, stable nonfarm payrolls), and rate cuts deferred potentially into 2027, trader consensus reflects limited near-term upside for yields, with forecasts eyeing 4.20%-4.30% peaks through 2026. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC for policy clues and May 12 CPI data for inflation trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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