Recent inflation readings, including core PCE at 3.3% in mid-2026, combined with a stable labor market featuring 4.2% unemployment, have shifted trader expectations toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end rather than cuts, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.50-3.75%, with futures pricing in one to two increases amid concerns over tariff effects and energy prices. Market-implied odds reflect this policy path, though upcoming CPI and PCE releases, plus FOMC communications, could alter the trajectory before 2027. Yields have risen over 40 basis points year-over-year, reflecting reduced odds of aggressive easing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$286,553 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
77%
5.0%
40%
5.2%
12%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
7%
$286,553 ปริมาณ
4.8%
$59,382 ปริมาณ
77%
5.0%
$81,376 ปริมาณ
40%
5.2%
$26,360 ปริมาณ
12%
5.5%
$5,832 ปริมาณ
7%
5.7%
$4,234 ปริมาณ
7%
6.0%
$3,084 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent inflation readings, including core PCE at 3.3% in mid-2026, combined with a stable labor market featuring 4.2% unemployment, have shifted trader expectations toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end rather than cuts, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.50-3.75%, with futures pricing in one to two increases amid concerns over tariff effects and energy prices. Market-implied odds reflect this policy path, though upcoming CPI and PCE releases, plus FOMC communications, could alter the trajectory before 2027. Yields have risen over 40 basis points year-over-year, reflecting reduced odds of aggressive easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286,553วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent inflation readings, including core PCE at 3.3% in mid-2026, combined with a stable labor market featuring 4.2% unemployment, have shifted trader expectations toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end rather than cuts, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.50-3.75%, with futures pricing in one to two increases amid concerns over tariff effects and energy prices. Market-implied odds reflect this policy path, though upcoming CPI and PCE releases, plus FOMC communications, could alter the trajectory before 2027. Yields have risen over 40 basis points year-over-year, reflecting reduced odds of aggressive easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286,553วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings, including core PCE at 3.3% in mid-2026, combined with a stable labor market featuring 4.2% unemployment, have shifted trader expectations toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes by year-end rather than cuts, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.50-3.75%, with futures pricing in one to two increases amid concerns over tariff effects and energy prices. Market-implied odds reflect this policy path, though upcoming CPI and PCE releases, plus FOMC communications, could alter the trajectory before 2027. Yields have risen over 40 basis points year-over-year, reflecting reduced odds of aggressive easing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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