Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and lines of control has kept any binding peace agreement—and the required nationwide referendum—remote through late 2026. Ukrainian law mandates referendums for territorial changes, yet martial law bars such votes without a sustained ceasefire, while polls show majority opposition to ceding significant eastern regions. Early 2026 trilateral talks produced only brief ceasefires and prisoner swaps before stalling, and recent U.S.-mediated efforts have not resolved core disputes ahead of the December 31, 2026 deadline. This sustained impasse supports the strong trader consensus against passage. A rapid breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire and referendum, or unforeseen military shifts compelling concessions, remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3% โอกาส
$68,934 ปริมาณ
$68,934 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3% โอกาส
$68,934 ปริมาณ
$68,934 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and lines of control has kept any binding peace agreement—and the required nationwide referendum—remote through late 2026. Ukrainian law mandates referendums for territorial changes, yet martial law bars such votes without a sustained ceasefire, while polls show majority opposition to ceding significant eastern regions. Early 2026 trilateral talks produced only brief ceasefires and prisoner swaps before stalling, and recent U.S.-mediated efforts have not resolved core disputes ahead of the December 31, 2026 deadline. This sustained impasse supports the strong trader consensus against passage. A rapid breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire and referendum, or unforeseen military shifts compelling concessions, remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,934วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and lines of control has kept any binding peace agreement—and the required nationwide referendum—remote through late 2026. Ukrainian law mandates referendums for territorial changes, yet martial law bars such votes without a sustained ceasefire, while polls show majority opposition to ceding significant eastern regions. Early 2026 trilateral talks produced only brief ceasefires and prisoner swaps before stalling, and recent U.S.-mediated efforts have not resolved core disputes ahead of the December 31, 2026 deadline. This sustained impasse supports the strong trader consensus against passage. A rapid breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire and referendum, or unforeseen military shifts compelling concessions, remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,934วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions, security guarantees, and lines of control has kept any binding peace agreement—and the required nationwide referendum—remote through late 2026. Ukrainian law mandates referendums for territorial changes, yet martial law bars such votes without a sustained ceasefire, while polls show majority opposition to ceding significant eastern regions. Early 2026 trilateral talks produced only brief ceasefires and prisoner swaps before stalling, and recent U.S.-mediated efforts have not resolved core disputes ahead of the December 31, 2026 deadline. This sustained impasse supports the strong trader consensus against passage. A rapid breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire and referendum, or unforeseen military shifts compelling concessions, remain the primary scenarios that could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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