Ukraine-Russia negotiations remain stalled amid entrenched positions on territorial control and security guarantees, with the Kremlin stating in mid-July 2026 that no immediate resumption of talks is in prospect. Recent diplomatic contacts, including the July NATO summit meeting between Presidents Trump and Zelenskyy, produced no breakthrough, while Russia continues to condition any ceasefire on acceptance of prior demands such as recognition of annexed regions. Ukrainian law requires a nationwide referendum for any territorial changes, yet polling shows majority opposition to ceding additional Donbas territory. Ongoing battlefield dynamics, including halted Russian advances, have not shifted the impasse enough to enable a verifiable peace framework or referendum before 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability on "No."
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$62,400 ปริมาณ
$62,400 ปริมาณ
$62,400 ปริมาณ
$62,400 ปริมาณ
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine-Russia negotiations remain stalled amid entrenched positions on territorial control and security guarantees, with the Kremlin stating in mid-July 2026 that no immediate resumption of talks is in prospect. Recent diplomatic contacts, including the July NATO summit meeting between Presidents Trump and Zelenskyy, produced no breakthrough, while Russia continues to condition any ceasefire on acceptance of prior demands such as recognition of annexed regions. Ukrainian law requires a nationwide referendum for any territorial changes, yet polling shows majority opposition to ceding additional Donbas territory. Ongoing battlefield dynamics, including halted Russian advances, have not shifted the impasse enough to enable a verifiable peace framework or referendum before 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% probability on "No."
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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