Vladimir Putin’s current six-year term, secured in the 2024 election and enabled by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits, extends until 2030, providing the structural foundation for the 91.5% trader consensus against his removal by December 31, 2026. He maintains firm control through regular public engagements, Security Council sessions, and policy directives, with no verified elite challenges, health crises, or institutional pressures emerging in 2025–2026. Recent state visits and year-end addresses underscore continuity, while approval ratings near 79% reflect sustained domestic support amid the Ukraine conflict. Although theoretical succession scenarios exist in a centralized system, the absence of imminent triggers—such as resignation signals, parliamentary moves, or security apparatus shifts—keeps near-term removal probabilities low in the wisdom-of-crowds assessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วปูตินออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีรัสเซียภายในวันที่ 31 ธันวาคม 2026?
ใช่
$6,757,954 ปริมาณ
$6,757,954 ปริมาณ
ใช่
$6,757,954 ปริมาณ
$6,757,954 ปริมาณ
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s current six-year term, secured in the 2024 election and enabled by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits, extends until 2030, providing the structural foundation for the 91.5% trader consensus against his removal by December 31, 2026. He maintains firm control through regular public engagements, Security Council sessions, and policy directives, with no verified elite challenges, health crises, or institutional pressures emerging in 2025–2026. Recent state visits and year-end addresses underscore continuity, while approval ratings near 79% reflect sustained domestic support amid the Ukraine conflict. Although theoretical succession scenarios exist in a centralized system, the absence of imminent triggers—such as resignation signals, parliamentary moves, or security apparatus shifts—keeps near-term removal probabilities low in the wisdom-of-crowds assessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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