Putin maintains firm control over Russia's centralized political system through ongoing public engagements, Security Council meetings, and policy directives into mid-2026, with no verified signs of voluntary resignation, incapacitation, or coordinated elite challenge. His 2024 reelection secured a term extending to 2030 under constitutional provisions that reset term limits, and the regime's dominance over security services and regional structures minimizes transition risks under standard succession rules. Ongoing military operations in Ukraine have produced no internal shocks capable of altering leadership dynamics. This stability underpins the 91.5% trader consensus on the "No" outcome, though abrupt health developments or unexpected elite realignments before December 31, 2026, remain theoretical variables that could still shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วปูตินออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีรัสเซียภายในวันที่ 31 ธันวาคม 2026?
ใช่
$6,767,277 ปริมาณ
$6,767,277 ปริมาณ
ใช่
$6,767,277 ปริมาณ
$6,767,277 ปริมาณ
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin maintains firm control over Russia's centralized political system through ongoing public engagements, Security Council meetings, and policy directives into mid-2026, with no verified signs of voluntary resignation, incapacitation, or coordinated elite challenge. His 2024 reelection secured a term extending to 2030 under constitutional provisions that reset term limits, and the regime's dominance over security services and regional structures minimizes transition risks under standard succession rules. Ongoing military operations in Ukraine have produced no internal shocks capable of altering leadership dynamics. This stability underpins the 91.5% trader consensus on the "No" outcome, though abrupt health developments or unexpected elite realignments before December 31, 2026, remain theoretical variables that could still shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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