Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. Security services have disrupted isolated plots in prior years, reinforcing institutional controls. Low implied probabilities for a coup attempt by year-end stem from these factors and the lack of fresh catalysts that could shift elite alignments or public unrest. Scheduled parliamentary or constitutional processes, if any, and battlefield developments remain key variables that could influence stability through December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$169,153 ปริมาณ
December 31
8%
$169,153 ปริมาณ
December 31
8%
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges, despite periodic protests over anticorruption legislation and EU accession strains in 2025. Security services have disrupted isolated plots in prior years, reinforcing institutional controls. Low implied probabilities for a coup attempt by year-end stem from these factors and the lack of fresh catalysts that could shift elite alignments or public unrest. Scheduled parliamentary or constitutional processes, if any, and battlefield developments remain key variables that could influence stability through December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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