Xi Jinping's sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military leadership changes and anti-corruption drives underpins the market's strong preference for no coup attempt before 2027. Recent investigations into senior People's Liberation Army figures, including Central Military Commission vice chairmen, have been framed officially as loyalty and graft matters rather than power struggles, with no reported resistance or factional mobilization. China's centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and historical absence of successful challenges to top leadership since 1949 reinforce trader assessments of stability. Potential shifts could arise from abrupt elite fractures, major economic shocks, or leadership health developments, though none have materialized in verifiable form to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$129,839 ปริมาณ
$129,839 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$129,839 ปริมาณ
$129,839 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military leadership changes and anti-corruption drives underpins the market's strong preference for no coup attempt before 2027. Recent investigations into senior People's Liberation Army figures, including Central Military Commission vice chairmen, have been framed officially as loyalty and graft matters rather than power struggles, with no reported resistance or factional mobilization. China's centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and historical absence of successful challenges to top leadership since 1949 reinforce trader assessments of stability. Potential shifts could arise from abrupt elite fractures, major economic shocks, or leadership health developments, though none have materialized in verifiable form to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$129,839วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military leadership changes and anti-corruption drives underpins the market's strong preference for no coup attempt before 2027. Recent investigations into senior People's Liberation Army figures, including Central Military Commission vice chairmen, have been framed officially as loyalty and graft matters rather than power struggles, with no reported resistance or factional mobilization. China's centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and historical absence of successful challenges to top leadership since 1949 reinforce trader assessments of stability. Potential shifts could arise from abrupt elite fractures, major economic shocks, or leadership health developments, though none have materialized in verifiable form to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$129,844วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's sustained consolidation of authority through repeated military leadership changes and anti-corruption drives underpins the market's strong preference for no coup attempt before 2027. Recent investigations into senior People's Liberation Army figures, including Central Military Commission vice chairmen, have been framed officially as loyalty and graft matters rather than power struggles, with no reported resistance or factional mobilization. China's centralized party structures, extensive internal security apparatus, and historical absence of successful challenges to top leadership since 1949 reinforce trader assessments of stability. Potential shifts could arise from abrupt elite fractures, major economic shocks, or leadership health developments, though none have materialized in verifiable form to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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