The Iranian regime has shown notable stability following the February 2026 leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating decision-making authority under figures like Major General Ahmad Vahidi. Recent actions, including the June 1 suspension of U.S. negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions, reflect internal cohesion rather than factional fractures that might signal a coup plot. No verified reports of active coup preparations or significant unrest have emerged in the past month, supporting trader consensus on the low likelihood of such an event before the June 30 cutoff. A sudden escalation in protests, elite infighting, or external shocks could theoretically alter this assessment, though structural controls make rapid shifts improbable in the brief remaining window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
$1,773,552 ปริมาณ
$1,773,552 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
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$1,773,552 ปริมาณ
$1,773,552 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime has shown notable stability following the February 2026 leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating decision-making authority under figures like Major General Ahmad Vahidi. Recent actions, including the June 1 suspension of U.S. negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions, reflect internal cohesion rather than factional fractures that might signal a coup plot. No verified reports of active coup preparations or significant unrest have emerged in the past month, supporting trader consensus on the low likelihood of such an event before the June 30 cutoff. A sudden escalation in protests, elite infighting, or external shocks could theoretically alter this assessment, though structural controls make rapid shifts improbable in the brief remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,773,552วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Iranian regime has shown notable stability following the February 2026 leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating decision-making authority under figures like Major General Ahmad Vahidi. Recent actions, including the June 1 suspension of U.S. negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions, reflect internal cohesion rather than factional fractures that might signal a coup plot. No verified reports of active coup preparations or significant unrest have emerged in the past month, supporting trader consensus on the low likelihood of such an event before the June 30 cutoff. A sudden escalation in protests, elite infighting, or external shocks could theoretically alter this assessment, though structural controls make rapid shifts improbable in the brief remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,773,552วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Iranian regime has shown notable stability following the February 2026 leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination and the subsequent election of Mojtaba Khamenei, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating decision-making authority under figures like Major General Ahmad Vahidi. Recent actions, including the June 1 suspension of U.S. negotiations amid ongoing regional tensions, reflect internal cohesion rather than factional fractures that might signal a coup plot. No verified reports of active coup preparations or significant unrest have emerged in the past month, supporting trader consensus on the low likelihood of such an event before the June 30 cutoff. A sudden escalation in protests, elite infighting, or external shocks could theoretically alter this assessment, though structural controls make rapid shifts improbable in the brief remaining window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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