**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$23,478,047 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
2%
September 30
6%
October 31
10%
November 30
13%
31 ธันวาคม
18%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,478,047 ปริมาณ
August 15
$60,914 ปริมาณ
<1%
August 22
$31,948 ปริมาณ
1%
August 31
$1,148,849 ปริมาณ
2%
September 30
$438,584 ปริมาณ
6%
October 31
$8,752 ปริมาณ
10%
November 30
$9,572 ปริมาณ
13%
31 ธันวาคม
$3,996,193 ปริมาณ
18%
June 30, 2027
$236,858 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,478,047วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,478,047วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war triggered Iran's first leadership transition since 1989.** The Assembly of Experts convened in early March and unanimously selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader, completing the process by March 9. Interim arrangements involving figures such as Ali Larijani and a temporary council managed the immediate period. The new leadership has since consolidated power, with reports indicating a younger, more hardline orientation while maintaining continuity in key institutions like the IRGC and clerical bodies. This sequence of verified military and institutional events has established the change as a completed fact ahead of most resolution dates, though traders continue to monitor any residual instability or external pressures that could influence longer-term regime dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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