Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and targeted U.S. airstrikes, rather than ground operations, have shaped trader views on limited escalation risks through early 2027. Following February 2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding, talks continue on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and reconstruction aid, despite intermittent clashes and threats. U.S. officials have emphasized air and naval pressure alongside economic tools, while military analysts note that a full-scale invasion would require far larger forces than currently deployed and faces significant logistical and political barriers. Recent exchanges in August-September 2026 remain focused on maritime and missile targets, with both sides signaling willingness for further talks under mediators.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะรุกรานอิหร่านก่อนปี 2027 หรือไม่?
ใช่
15% โอกาส
$65,040,075 ปริมาณ
$65,040,075 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
15% โอกาส
$65,040,075 ปริมาณ
$65,040,075 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and targeted U.S. airstrikes, rather than ground operations, have shaped trader views on limited escalation risks through early 2027. Following February 2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding, talks continue on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and reconstruction aid, despite intermittent clashes and threats. U.S. officials have emphasized air and naval pressure alongside economic tools, while military analysts note that a full-scale invasion would require far larger forces than currently deployed and faces significant logistical and political barriers. Recent exchanges in August-September 2026 remain focused on maritime and missile targets, with both sides signaling willingness for further talks under mediators.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,040,075วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and targeted U.S. airstrikes, rather than ground operations, have shaped trader views on limited escalation risks through early 2027. Following February 2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding, talks continue on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and reconstruction aid, despite intermittent clashes and threats. U.S. officials have emphasized air and naval pressure alongside economic tools, while military analysts note that a full-scale invasion would require far larger forces than currently deployed and faces significant logistical and political barriers. Recent exchanges in August-September 2026 remain focused on maritime and missile targets, with both sides signaling willingness for further talks under mediators.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,040,075วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and targeted U.S. airstrikes, rather than ground operations, have shaped trader views on limited escalation risks through early 2027. Following February 2026 strikes and a June memorandum of understanding, talks continue on the Strait of Hormuz navigation, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and reconstruction aid, despite intermittent clashes and threats. U.S. officials have emphasized air and naval pressure alongside economic tools, while military analysts note that a full-scale invasion would require far larger forces than currently deployed and faces significant logistical and political barriers. Recent exchanges in August-September 2026 remain focused on maritime and missile targets, with both sides signaling willingness for further talks under mediators.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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