Decades of bilateral security cooperation, trade ties, and Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally have anchored trader consensus at 97.7% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. strikes in Venezuela and public remarks on drug flows, prompting Colombian warnings and temporary aid disruptions, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or invasion planning. Colombia's August 2026 presidential transition facilitated renewed engagement, including restored U.S. assistance and joint operations against narco-terrorism networks, which further lowered escalation risks. Plausible late shifts remain limited to abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen regional crises capable of disrupting this diplomatic pattern before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
2% โอกาส
$148,889 ปริมาณ
$148,889 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
2% โอกาส
$148,889 ปริมาณ
$148,889 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Decades of bilateral security cooperation, trade ties, and Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally have anchored trader consensus at 97.7% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. strikes in Venezuela and public remarks on drug flows, prompting Colombian warnings and temporary aid disruptions, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or invasion planning. Colombia's August 2026 presidential transition facilitated renewed engagement, including restored U.S. assistance and joint operations against narco-terrorism networks, which further lowered escalation risks. Plausible late shifts remain limited to abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen regional crises capable of disrupting this diplomatic pattern before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,889วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Decades of bilateral security cooperation, trade ties, and Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally have anchored trader consensus at 97.7% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. strikes in Venezuela and public remarks on drug flows, prompting Colombian warnings and temporary aid disruptions, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or invasion planning. Colombia's August 2026 presidential transition facilitated renewed engagement, including restored U.S. assistance and joint operations against narco-terrorism networks, which further lowered escalation risks. Plausible late shifts remain limited to abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen regional crises capable of disrupting this diplomatic pattern before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,889วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Decades of bilateral security cooperation, trade ties, and Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally have anchored trader consensus at 97.7% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. strikes in Venezuela and public remarks on drug flows, prompting Colombian warnings and temporary aid disruptions, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or invasion planning. Colombia's August 2026 presidential transition facilitated renewed engagement, including restored U.S. assistance and joint operations against narco-terrorism networks, which further lowered escalation risks. Plausible late shifts remain limited to abrupt policy reversals or unforeseen regional crises capable of disrupting this diplomatic pattern before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย