Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability of no U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026, driven by de-escalation following early-year tensions. After the U.S. intervention in Venezuela on January 3, President Trump threatened military operations against Colombian drug traffickers, prompting President Petro to warn of a "real threat" and mobilize defenses. However, a February 3 White House meeting thawed relations, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" amid shared counternarcotics priorities. No escalatory military actions, sanctions lifts, or border incidents have occurred in the past 60 days, reinforcing Colombia's major non-NATO ally status and bilateral cooperation on drug trafficking, though abrupt diplomatic breakdowns or cartel provocations could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
$25,340 ปริมาณ
$25,340 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$25,340 ปริมาณ
$25,340 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability of no U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026, driven by de-escalation following early-year tensions. After the U.S. intervention in Venezuela on January 3, President Trump threatened military operations against Colombian drug traffickers, prompting President Petro to warn of a "real threat" and mobilize defenses. However, a February 3 White House meeting thawed relations, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" amid shared counternarcotics priorities. No escalatory military actions, sanctions lifts, or border incidents have occurred in the past 60 days, reinforcing Colombia's major non-NATO ally status and bilateral cooperation on drug trafficking, though abrupt diplomatic breakdowns or cartel provocations could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,340วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability of no U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026, driven by de-escalation following early-year tensions. After the U.S. intervention in Venezuela on January 3, President Trump threatened military operations against Colombian drug traffickers, prompting President Petro to warn of a "real threat" and mobilize defenses. However, a February 3 White House meeting thawed relations, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" amid shared counternarcotics priorities. No escalatory military actions, sanctions lifts, or border incidents have occurred in the past 60 days, reinforcing Colombia's major non-NATO ally status and bilateral cooperation on drug trafficking, though abrupt diplomatic breakdowns or cartel provocations could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,340วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability of no U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026, driven by de-escalation following early-year tensions. After the U.S. intervention in Venezuela on January 3, President Trump threatened military operations against Colombian drug traffickers, prompting President Petro to warn of a "real threat" and mobilize defenses. However, a February 3 White House meeting thawed relations, with Trump calling Petro "terrific" amid shared counternarcotics priorities. No escalatory military actions, sanctions lifts, or border incidents have occurred in the past 60 days, reinforcing Colombia's major non-NATO ally status and bilateral cooperation on drug trafficking, though abrupt diplomatic breakdowns or cartel provocations could shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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