Russia's military efforts remain focused on sustaining operations in Ukraine through September 2026, where advances have slowed amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy and logistics targets and ongoing recruitment shortfalls. Kremlin statements from President Putin and officials continue to emphasize achieving existing objectives in Donbas and Novorossiya rather than opening new fronts, while domestic priorities including the September State Duma elections reinforce this stance. No verified preparations or actions indicate imminent aggression against additional countries. The 93.5% trader consensus on no new invasion in 2026 aligns with these capacity limits, though shifts could follow major battlefield changes, diplomatic breakthroughs, or unexpected escalations before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Russia invade another country in 2026?
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
7% โอกาส
$460,827 ปริมาณ
$460,827 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$460,827 ปริมาณ
$460,827 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's military efforts remain focused on sustaining operations in Ukraine through September 2026, where advances have slowed amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy and logistics targets and ongoing recruitment shortfalls. Kremlin statements from President Putin and officials continue to emphasize achieving existing objectives in Donbas and Novorossiya rather than opening new fronts, while domestic priorities including the September State Duma elections reinforce this stance. No verified preparations or actions indicate imminent aggression against additional countries. The 93.5% trader consensus on no new invasion in 2026 aligns with these capacity limits, though shifts could follow major battlefield changes, diplomatic breakthroughs, or unexpected escalations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$460,827วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's military efforts remain focused on sustaining operations in Ukraine through September 2026, where advances have slowed amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy and logistics targets and ongoing recruitment shortfalls. Kremlin statements from President Putin and officials continue to emphasize achieving existing objectives in Donbas and Novorossiya rather than opening new fronts, while domestic priorities including the September State Duma elections reinforce this stance. No verified preparations or actions indicate imminent aggression against additional countries. The 93.5% trader consensus on no new invasion in 2026 aligns with these capacity limits, though shifts could follow major battlefield changes, diplomatic breakthroughs, or unexpected escalations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$460,827วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Russia's military efforts remain focused on sustaining operations in Ukraine through September 2026, where advances have slowed amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy and logistics targets and ongoing recruitment shortfalls. Kremlin statements from President Putin and officials continue to emphasize achieving existing objectives in Donbas and Novorossiya rather than opening new fronts, while domestic priorities including the September State Duma elections reinforce this stance. No verified preparations or actions indicate imminent aggression against additional countries. The 93.5% trader consensus on no new invasion in 2026 aligns with these capacity limits, though shifts could follow major battlefield changes, diplomatic breakthroughs, or unexpected escalations before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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