Russia's military remains heavily engaged in its ongoing operations across Ukraine, with forces focused on incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy infrastructure that have triggered domestic fuel shortages. Official statements from Moscow continue to emphasize consolidation of claimed territories and rejection of Ukrainian proposals short of full withdrawal demands, while U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts persist without signs of new fronts opening. No verified preparations, troop movements, or public rhetoric indicate intent to launch conventional offensives against additional states such as Moldova or NATO members before year-end. These constraints, combined with economic pressures and recruitment challenges, underpin the strong trader consensus against a 2026 invasion of another country.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Russia invade another country in 2026?
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
7% โอกาส
$460,727 ปริมาณ
$460,727 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$460,727 ปริมาณ
$460,727 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's military remains heavily engaged in its ongoing operations across Ukraine, with forces focused on incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy infrastructure that have triggered domestic fuel shortages. Official statements from Moscow continue to emphasize consolidation of claimed territories and rejection of Ukrainian proposals short of full withdrawal demands, while U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts persist without signs of new fronts opening. No verified preparations, troop movements, or public rhetoric indicate intent to launch conventional offensives against additional states such as Moldova or NATO members before year-end. These constraints, combined with economic pressures and recruitment challenges, underpin the strong trader consensus against a 2026 invasion of another country.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$460,727วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's military remains heavily engaged in its ongoing operations across Ukraine, with forces focused on incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy infrastructure that have triggered domestic fuel shortages. Official statements from Moscow continue to emphasize consolidation of claimed territories and rejection of Ukrainian proposals short of full withdrawal demands, while U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts persist without signs of new fronts opening. No verified preparations, troop movements, or public rhetoric indicate intent to launch conventional offensives against additional states such as Moldova or NATO members before year-end. These constraints, combined with economic pressures and recruitment challenges, underpin the strong trader consensus against a 2026 invasion of another country.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$460,727วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Russia's military remains heavily engaged in its ongoing operations across Ukraine, with forces focused on incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast amid Ukrainian long-range strikes on energy infrastructure that have triggered domestic fuel shortages. Official statements from Moscow continue to emphasize consolidation of claimed territories and rejection of Ukrainian proposals short of full withdrawal demands, while U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts persist without signs of new fronts opening. No verified preparations, troop movements, or public rhetoric indicate intent to launch conventional offensives against additional states such as Moldova or NATO members before year-end. These constraints, combined with economic pressures and recruitment challenges, underpin the strong trader consensus against a 2026 invasion of another country.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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