The United States has adhered to its 1992 nuclear testing moratorium for over 33 years, conducting no explosive nuclear tests amid ongoing stockpile stewardship programs that certify warheads without detonations. Recent Trump administration rhetoric, including a February 2026 New York Times report on weighing underground tests at the Nevada National Security Site and a March 2026 Reuters statement from a top official not ruling out resumption, reflects concerns over Russia and China's suspected activities, driving trader discussions. However, a December 2025 defense bill ties resumption to foreign tests, while opposition like Rep. Titus's bill underscores political hurdles; no preparations or tests are confirmed, with full readiness potentially taking 24-36 months per expert assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการทดสอบนิวเคลียร์ของสหรัฐอเมริกาโดย...?
การทดสอบนิวเคลียร์ของสหรัฐอเมริกาโดย...?
$639,432 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
1%
September 30, 2026
7%
December 31, 2026
14%
$639,432 ปริมาณ
June 30, 2026
$23,204 ปริมาณ
1%
September 30, 2026
$2,149 ปริมาณ
7%
December 31, 2026
$3,860 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has adhered to its 1992 nuclear testing moratorium for over 33 years, conducting no explosive nuclear tests amid ongoing stockpile stewardship programs that certify warheads without detonations. Recent Trump administration rhetoric, including a February 2026 New York Times report on weighing underground tests at the Nevada National Security Site and a March 2026 Reuters statement from a top official not ruling out resumption, reflects concerns over Russia and China's suspected activities, driving trader discussions. However, a December 2025 defense bill ties resumption to foreign tests, while opposition like Rep. Titus's bill underscores political hurdles; no preparations or tests are confirmed, with full readiness potentially taking 24-36 months per expert assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$639,432วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has adhered to its 1992 nuclear testing moratorium for over 33 years, conducting no explosive nuclear tests amid ongoing stockpile stewardship programs that certify warheads without detonations. Recent Trump administration rhetoric, including a February 2026 New York Times report on weighing underground tests at the Nevada National Security Site and a March 2026 Reuters statement from a top official not ruling out resumption, reflects concerns over Russia and China's suspected activities, driving trader discussions. However, a December 2025 defense bill ties resumption to foreign tests, while opposition like Rep. Titus's bill underscores political hurdles; no preparations or tests are confirmed, with full readiness potentially taking 24-36 months per expert assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$639,432วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has adhered to its 1992 nuclear testing moratorium for over 33 years, conducting no explosive nuclear tests amid ongoing stockpile stewardship programs that certify warheads without detonations. Recent Trump administration rhetoric, including a February 2026 New York Times report on weighing underground tests at the Nevada National Security Site and a March 2026 Reuters statement from a top official not ruling out resumption, reflects concerns over Russia and China's suspected activities, driving trader discussions. However, a December 2025 defense bill ties resumption to foreign tests, while opposition like Rep. Titus's bill underscores political hurdles; no preparations or tests are confirmed, with full readiness potentially taking 24-36 months per expert assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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