Recent polling from FOM and WCIOM shows New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) as the closest contenders for fourth place in the September 18–20 State Duma elections, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further. Party list approvals in June and July, combined with the Supreme Court’s August annulment of Yabloko’s federal list, narrowed the field of viable systemic options. LDPR’s emphasis on nationalist messaging and veteran candidates, alongside New People’s positioning as a modernizing alternative, has kept their support levels volatile in late-summer surveys. Any late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or regional single-mandate results could determine final ordering among these parties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 42%
New People (NL) 40%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 11%
Rodina 3.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
42%
New People (NL)
47%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
11%
Rodina
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2%
Civic Platform (GP)
1%
United Russia (ER)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 42%
New People (NL) 40%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 11%
Rodina 3.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$215 ปริมาณ
42%
New People (NL)
$130 ปริมาณ
47%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$60 ปริมาณ
11%
Rodina
$83 ปริมาณ
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$217 ปริมาณ
2%
Civic Platform (GP)
$543 ปริมาณ
1%
United Russia (ER)
$187 ปริมาณ
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from FOM and WCIOM shows New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) as the closest contenders for fourth place in the September 18–20 State Duma elections, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further. Party list approvals in June and July, combined with the Supreme Court’s August annulment of Yabloko’s federal list, narrowed the field of viable systemic options. LDPR’s emphasis on nationalist messaging and veteran candidates, alongside New People’s positioning as a modernizing alternative, has kept their support levels volatile in late-summer surveys. Any late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or regional single-mandate results could determine final ordering among these parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,435วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from FOM and WCIOM shows New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) as the closest contenders for fourth place in the September 18–20 State Duma elections, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further. Party list approvals in June and July, combined with the Supreme Court’s August annulment of Yabloko’s federal list, narrowed the field of viable systemic options. LDPR’s emphasis on nationalist messaging and veteran candidates, alongside New People’s positioning as a modernizing alternative, has kept their support levels volatile in late-summer surveys. Any late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or regional single-mandate results could determine final ordering among these parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,435วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from FOM and WCIOM shows New People and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) as the closest contenders for fourth place in the September 18–20 State Duma elections, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with A Just Russia – For Truth trailing further. Party list approvals in June and July, combined with the Supreme Court’s August annulment of Yabloko’s federal list, narrowed the field of viable systemic options. LDPR’s emphasis on nationalist messaging and veteran candidates, alongside New People’s positioning as a modernizing alternative, has kept their support levels volatile in late-summer surveys. Any late shifts in turnout among undecided voters or regional single-mandate results could determine final ordering among these parties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
51%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
99%
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