Recent polling trends show New People gaining ground among systemic opposition parties, with some surveys placing it ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) and close to or above the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the low-to-mid teens, while United Russia maintains a dominant lead. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which of these three will secure third place overall, driven by New People’s media visibility and organizational push, LDPR’s post-leadership recovery, and the KPRF’s established regional base. Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma vote, including adjustments to single-member constituency allocations, add further variability. Any shifts in late-campaign administrative support or turnout among key voter blocs could widen the gap among the contenders before voting concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew People (NL) 44%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.0%
$38,607 ปริมาณ
$38,607 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
35%
New People (NL)
44%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
New People (NL) 44%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 35%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.0%
$38,607 ปริมาณ
$38,607 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$2,480 ปริมาณ
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$6,042 ปริมาณ
18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1,941 ปริมาณ
2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$16,159 ปริมาณ
35%
New People (NL)
$7,642 ปริมาณ
44%
Rodina
$2,524 ปริมาณ
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,818 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends show New People gaining ground among systemic opposition parties, with some surveys placing it ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) and close to or above the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the low-to-mid teens, while United Russia maintains a dominant lead. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which of these three will secure third place overall, driven by New People’s media visibility and organizational push, LDPR’s post-leadership recovery, and the KPRF’s established regional base. Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma vote, including adjustments to single-member constituency allocations, add further variability. Any shifts in late-campaign administrative support or turnout among key voter blocs could widen the gap among the contenders before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,607วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends show New People gaining ground among systemic opposition parties, with some surveys placing it ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) and close to or above the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the low-to-mid teens, while United Russia maintains a dominant lead. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which of these three will secure third place overall, driven by New People’s media visibility and organizational push, LDPR’s post-leadership recovery, and the KPRF’s established regional base. Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma vote, including adjustments to single-member constituency allocations, add further variability. Any shifts in late-campaign administrative support or turnout among key voter blocs could widen the gap among the contenders before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,607วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends show New People gaining ground among systemic opposition parties, with some surveys placing it ahead of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) and close to or above the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the low-to-mid teens, while United Russia maintains a dominant lead. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which of these three will secure third place overall, driven by New People’s media visibility and organizational push, LDPR’s post-leadership recovery, and the KPRF’s established regional base. Kremlin preparations for the September 2026 State Duma vote, including adjustments to single-member constituency allocations, add further variability. Any shifts in late-campaign administrative support or turnout among key voter blocs could widen the gap among the contenders before voting concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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