Incumbent President Iliana Iotova commands trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her acting role following former President Rumen Radev's recent resignation to lead a new party topping parliamentary polls at 32-37% ahead of tomorrow's April 19 snap vote—the eighth in five years amid government collapse. Nikolai Denkov of the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria trails at 26.5%, supported by his prior premiership and coalition's reform agenda, while Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB holds 13% on party loyalty despite voter fatigue. Ongoing instability favors established figures like Iotova over fragmented challengers, with no-confidence dynamics and coalition negotiations shaping sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.7%
$63,749 ปริมาณ
$63,749 ปริมาณ
Iliana Iotova
42%
Nikolai Denkov
27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%
Blagomir Kotsev
9%
Boyko Borissov
4%
Vassil Terziev
3%
Rosen Plevneliev
2%
Kostadin Kostadinov
2%
Yanaki Stoilov
2%
Atanas Atanasov
1%
Delyan Peevski
1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.7%
$63,749 ปริมาณ
$63,749 ปริมาณ
Iliana Iotova
42%
Nikolai Denkov
27%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%
Blagomir Kotsev
9%
Boyko Borissov
4%
Vassil Terziev
3%
Rosen Plevneliev
2%
Kostadin Kostadinov
2%
Yanaki Stoilov
2%
Atanas Atanasov
1%
Delyan Peevski
1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Iliana Iotova commands trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, bolstered by her acting role following former President Rumen Radev's recent resignation to lead a new party topping parliamentary polls at 32-37% ahead of tomorrow's April 19 snap vote—the eighth in five years amid government collapse. Nikolai Denkov of the pro-EU We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria trails at 26.5%, supported by his prior premiership and coalition's reform agenda, while Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB holds 13% on party loyalty despite voter fatigue. Ongoing instability favors established figures like Iotova over fragmented challengers, with no-confidence dynamics and coalition negotiations shaping sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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