José Maria Neves leads trader consensus at 67.5% as the PAICV incumbent entering the November 15, 2026, presidential vote, bolstered by his party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory that delivered a National Assembly majority and positioned Francisco Carvalho as prime minister-designate. This outcome reflects the party’s strengthened organizational base and continuity in Cape Verde’s semi-presidential system. Opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with lower-probability names such as Milton Paiva, Joana Rosa, and Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, as no major late-campaign shifts or cross-party endorsements have altered the balance. Scheduled first-round balloting and potential runoff dynamics remain the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCape Verde Presidential Election Winner
José Maria Neves 68%
Milton Paiva 9%
Janine Lélis 7%
Casimiro de Pina 6%

José Maria Neves
68%

Milton Paiva
9%

Janine Lélis
7%

Casimiro de Pina
6%

Péricles Tavares
6%

Fernando Delgado
6%

Joana Rosa
8%
José Maria Neves 68%
Milton Paiva 9%
Janine Lélis 7%
Casimiro de Pina 6%

José Maria Neves
68%

Milton Paiva
9%

Janine Lélis
7%

Casimiro de Pina
6%

Péricles Tavares
6%

Fernando Delgado
6%

Joana Rosa
8%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...José Maria Neves leads trader consensus at 67.5% as the PAICV incumbent entering the November 15, 2026, presidential vote, bolstered by his party’s May 2026 parliamentary victory that delivered a National Assembly majority and positioned Francisco Carvalho as prime minister-designate. This outcome reflects the party’s strengthened organizational base and continuity in Cape Verde’s semi-presidential system. Opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, along with lower-probability names such as Milton Paiva, Joana Rosa, and Casimiro de Pina, trail significantly, as no major late-campaign shifts or cross-party endorsements have altered the balance. Scheduled first-round balloting and potential runoff dynamics remain the primary near-term catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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